Prediction Market Analysis

5,300 markets analyzed with smart money consensus and alpha scoring. Find where the edge is.

Top 100 by Alpha Score

Sort:Alpha ScoreVolumeEdge

Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?

YES 37%NO 64%
A100Strong NO
$59K

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

YES 32%NO 68%
A100Strong NO
$378K

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

YES 13%NO 88%
A100Strong NO
$4.2M

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

YES 27%NO 74%
A100Strong NO
$1.7M

Iran leadership change by April 30?

YES 40%NO 61%
A100Strong NO
$374K

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

YES 72%NO 28%
A100Strong YES
$365K

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

YES 57%NO 43%
A100Strong YES
$199K

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

YES 21%NO 79%
A100Strong NO
$235K

Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 76%NO 25%
A96Strong YES
$591K

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

YES 37%NO 64%
A93Strong NO
$114K

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?

YES 32%NO 68%
A92Strong NO
$313K

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

YES 31%NO 69%
A89Strong NO
$73K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

YES 5%NO 95%
A89Strong NO
$1.7M

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

YES 29%NO 71%
A88Strong NO
$71K

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

YES 67%NO 33%
A83Strong YES
$174K

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

YES 50%NO 50%
A82Lean YES
$6.4M

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 47%NO 53%
A82Lean YES
$362K

Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies

YES 50%NO 51%
A79Strong YES
$15K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

YES 89%NO 11%
A78Strong YES
$844K

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

YES 90%NO 10%
A78Strong YES
$688K

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?

YES 49%NO 52%
A77Strong NO
$26K

Red Wings vs. Stars

YES 39%NO 62%
A76Strong NO
$29K

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

YES 28%NO 72%
A76Strong NO
$622K

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

YES 26%NO 74%
A74Strong NO
$58K

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

YES 38%NO 63%
A73Lean YES
$3.7M

Phoenix: Arthur Cazaux vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

YES 51%NO 50%
A72Strong YES
$89K

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

YES 14%NO 86%
A71Strong NO
$1.4M

Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?

YES 43%NO 57%
A71Strong NO
$26K

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

YES 77%NO 23%
A70Strong YES
$19K

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

YES 12%NO 89%
A68Strong NO
$221K

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 56%NO 44%
A67Lean YES
$1.4M

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

YES 9%NO 91%
A67Strong NO
$62K

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

YES 89%NO 12%
A66Strong YES
$1.9M

Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?

YES 43%NO 57%
A66Strong NO
$7K

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

YES 35%NO 66%
A65Strong YES
$5.0M

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

YES 32%NO 69%
A65Strong NO
$2.7M

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

YES 69%NO 32%
A65Strong YES
$80K

Kraken vs. Canucks

YES 56%NO 45%
A64Strong YES
$9K

Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

YES 61%NO 39%
A64Strong YES
$10K

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

YES 57%NO 43%
A63Strong YES
$52K

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

YES 54%NO 47%
A62Strong YES
$109K

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 21%NO 79%
A61Strong YES
$2.1M

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 28%NO 73%
A61Strong NO
$106K

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

YES 18%NO 82%
A61Strong NO
$5.5M

Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?

YES 47%NO 53%
A61Strong NO
$6K

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

YES 27%NO 73%
A61Strong NO
$159K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

YES 12%NO 89%
A61Lean NO
$4.1M

Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guy Den Ouden

YES 50%NO 51%
A60Strong NO
$131K

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

YES 17%NO 83%
A60Lean NO
$1.7M

Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?

YES 67%NO 34%
A59Strong YES
$16K

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 75%NO 26%
A59Lean YES
$2.3M

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

YES 48%NO 53%
A59Strong YES
$420K

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?

YES 56%NO 45%
A59Strong NO
$38K

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?

YES 76%NO 25%
A59Strong YES
$66K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?

YES 42%NO 58%
A58Strong NO
$12K

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?

YES 40%NO 60%
A57Strong NO
$6K

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YES 19%NO 82%
A57Lean YES
$7.0M

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

YES 19%NO 81%
A57Strong NO
$356K

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

YES 4%NO 96%
A57Strong NO
$31.6M

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

YES 46%NO 55%
A56Strong NO
$32K

Netanyahu out by March 31?

YES 6%NO 94%
A56Strong NO
$299K

Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?

YES 36%NO 65%
A56Strong NO
$5K

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?

YES 50%NO 51%
A56Strong YES
$11K

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers

YES 50%NO 50%
A56Strong YES
$96K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?

YES 26%NO 75%
A56Strong NO
$5K

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

YES 12%NO 88%
A55Strong NO
$296K

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?

YES 21%NO 79%
A55Strong NO
$11K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

YES 38%NO 62%
A54Strong NO
$52K

Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?

YES 58%NO 42%
A54Strong YES
$4K

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?

YES 55%NO 45%
A54Strong NO
$22K

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

YES 8%NO 92%
A53Strong NO
$592K

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

YES 22%NO 78%
A53Strong NO
$302K

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

YES 69%NO 32%
A53Strong YES
$116K

Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

YES 15%NO 85%
A53Strong NO
$42K

Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi

YES 56%NO 44%
A51Strong YES
$11K

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

YES 10%NO 90%
A51Lean NO
$3.7M

Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

YES 29%NO 71%
A51Strong NO
$14K

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

YES 78%NO 23%
A51Strong YES
$235K

SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?

YES 7%NO 94%
A50Strong NO
$89K

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

YES 38%NO 62%
A50Strong NO
$259K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

YES 46%NO 55%
A50Strong NO
$634K

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?

YES 41%NO 60%
A50Strong NO
$1K

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

YES 62%NO 38%
A50Strong YES
$24K

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?

YES 30%NO 71%
A50Strong NO
$6K

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5

YES 68%NO 33%
A50Strong YES
$13K

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

YES 68%NO 32%
A49Strong YES
$23K

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

YES 70%NO 31%
A49Strong YES
$12K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

YES 3%NO 97%
A49Strong NO
$4.4M

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?

YES 45%NO 56%
A49Strong NO
$3K

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

YES 17%NO 84%
A48Strong NO
$311K

Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?

YES 21%NO 80%
A48Strong NO
$4K

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

YES 89%NO 12%
A48Strong YES
$125K

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

YES 41%NO 60%
A48Strong NO
$56K

AWS service disrupted by March 31?

YES 32%NO 68%
A48Strong NO
$17K

US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?

YES 36%NO 64%
A48Lean NO
$223K

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March?

YES 33%NO 68%
A48Strong NO
$3K

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?

YES 51%NO 49%
A47Strong YES
$54K

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

YES 35%NO 66%
A46Lean NO
$208K

Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?

YES 17%NO 84%
A46Strong NO
$15K

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-14?

YES 62%NO 38%
A46Strong YES
$612
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