Entertainment Prediction Markets
Entertainment industry prediction markets covering awards, box office, streaming, and media events. Smart money analysis on entertainment outcomes.
Markets
140
Avg Alpha Score
10.7
Total Volume
$12.1M
With Smart Money Data
140
140 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 67Lean YES
$1.4MWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 36Lean YES
$970K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
YES 69%/NO 32%
Alpha 35Lean NO
$430KWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 30Strong YES
$1.1M
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$28KWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 67%/NO 33%
Alpha 27Lean YES
$116K
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 26Strong NO
$7KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 26Lean YES
$18KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$18K
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 54%/NO 46%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$68K
Will Keya Kellum get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$2K
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$1KWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 23Lean YES
$834KWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 7.5m?
YES 40%/NO 60%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$3K
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 87%/NO 13%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$4KWill "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$6KLoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 17Lean YES
$60KWill Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$145K
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
YES 30%/NO 71%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$1KWill I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$99KLoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
YES 82%/NO 19%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$68KCounter-Strike: Nexus vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$24KWill Sinners win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$21KCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$16KCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
YES 75%/NO 25%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$19KWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$70KCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$4K
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?
YES 53%/NO 48%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$806Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
YES 35%/NO 65%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$102KWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$42KWill "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$532
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$10KCounter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
YES 95%/NO 6%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$5KWill "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$899Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$2KLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
YES 75%/NO 25%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$293Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$9K
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$406
Will "Rookie" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 48%/NO 53%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$6Games Total: O/U 2.5
YES 55%/NO 46%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$37K
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$12K
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$3K
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$10K
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 78%/NO 23%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$70KWill Marty Supreme win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$25KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$4KCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
YES 56%/NO 45%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$146KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$5K
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$93K
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$17K
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$256
Games Total: O/U 2.5
YES 59%/NO 42%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$59K
Will Netflix dip to $70 in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2K
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$78KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$9KWill "One Tap" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 63%/NO 37%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$7Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$686Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2K
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$34KWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 8%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$129KWill "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$1K
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$49KWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$46KWill "Fake Clone" or "Fake Cloning" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 5Strong NO
--
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top global Netflix show this week?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
YES 89%/NO 11%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$20KWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$21KWill "Chile" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$47Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$296
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$7KWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of March?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$307KCounter-Strike: OG vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 83%/NO 18%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$21K
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$52KWill It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$82KWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$35KWill FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$423KWill Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$81KWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
YES 54%/NO 46%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--
Will OpTic Texas win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 58%/NO 42%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--Will "Cosmic Divide" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will "Six Seven" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$28K
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$447K
Will FaZe Vegas win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--
New Half-Life game by June 30?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--
Will Cloud9 New York finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--
Will Paris Gentle Mates win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--
Will Los Angeles Thieves win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--
Will Toronto KOI win DreamHack Major 2?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 30%/NO 71%
Alpha 1Split
$1.4MWill "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
$133KValorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner
YES 69%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$40KCall of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Miami Heretics - Game 4 Winner
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
--
StarCraft II: ByuN vs SHIN - Map 1 Winner
YES 45%/NO 55%
No ScoreSplit
--Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$62KWill Netflix reach $105 in March?
YES 22%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$18KWill "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill "Clutch" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 62%/NO 39%
No ScoreSplit
$34Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 83%/NO 18%
No ScoreSplit
$92StarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue - Map 1 Winner
YES 73%/NO 27%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 54%/NO 47%
No ScoreSplit
$99Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 40%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
--Will "Pearl" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
YES 53%/NO 48%
No ScoreSplit
$94KWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 87%/NO 14%
No ScoreSplit
$209K
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
YES 30%/NO 71%
No ScoreSplit
$152KWill "Stinger" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$627LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$51KCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
YES 32%/NO 69%
No ScoreSplit
$390KStarCraft II: MaxPax vs Rogue - Map 2 Winner
YES 72%/NO 28%
No ScoreSplit
--Will "IGL" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 76%/NO 25%
No ScoreSplit
--Counter-Strike: OG vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 51%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
$178KWill "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$12K
Honor of Kings: TOP Esports Armor vs Qing Jiu Club - Game 4 Winner
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
--
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
YES 31%/NO 70%
No ScoreSplit
$72KWill Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$15K
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
YES 73%/NO 27%
No ScoreSplit
$89KWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $120 end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
--StarCraft II: ByuN vs SHIN - Map 2 Winner
YES 45%/NO 55%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreSplit
$7KValorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
YES 41%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
$475K
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
YES 85%/NO 15%
No ScoreSplit
$50K
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
$126KCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GRINGOS (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$182KWill "Economy" or "Eco" be said 10+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreSplit
$47Game Handicap: Qing Jiu Club (-1.5) vs TOP Esports Armor (+1.5)
YES 47%/NO 54%
No ScoreSplit
$711
No one announced as next James Bond?
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$215KWill "Spike" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill "Hunter's Fury" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
YES 75%/NO 25%
No ScoreSplit
$82Will Netflix dip to $35 in March?
YES 3%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?
YES 43%/NO 57%
No ScoreSplit
$37KEntertainment Markets FAQ
How many entertainment prediction markets are available?
There are currently 140 entertainment prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for entertainment markets?
The average alpha score across entertainment markets is 10.7 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for entertainment markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For entertainment markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best entertainment market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked entertainment markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is entertainment market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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