Pop Culture Prediction Markets
Prediction markets on viral moments, social media milestones, celebrity events, and cultural phenomena. Where smart money meets pop culture.
Markets
260
Avg Alpha Score
17.2
Total Volume
$127.5M
With Smart Money Data
260
260 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 96Strong YES
$591KWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 82Lean YES
$362K
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
YES 90%/NO 10%
Alpha 78Strong YES
$688K
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 61%/NO 39%
Alpha 64Strong YES
$10K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 54%/NO 47%
Alpha 62Strong YES
$109K
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 21%/NO 79%
Alpha 61Strong YES
$2.1M
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 61Strong NO
$6KWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 75%/NO 26%
Alpha 59Lean YES
$2.3MWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 56Strong NO
$5K
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 58%/NO 42%
Alpha 54Strong YES
$4KWill The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 51Strong NO
$14KWill "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 48Strong NO
$4K
Oscars Bingo
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 45Strong YES
$6K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 44Strong NO
$16.8MWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 40Strong NO
$15KWill Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 40Strong NO
$11KWill Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 40Strong NO
$11KWill Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 35Strong NO
$12K
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?
YES 95%/NO 6%
Alpha 34Strong YES
$39KWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 34Lean YES
$181KWill "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 32Strong YES
$4KWill "Zionist" or "Zionism" be said at the Oscars?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 31Strong NO
$260
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 30Strong YES
$827K
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 29Lean YES
$335KWill "Ellison" be said at the Oscars?
YES 35%/NO 66%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$49Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 29Strong YES
$375KWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 28Strong YES
$2.6M
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 66%/NO 34%
Alpha 28Strong YES
$197K
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
YES 61%/NO 39%
Alpha 28Lean NO
$21K
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 28Lean YES
$614KWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$254KWill Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$593KWill All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 67%/NO 33%
Alpha 26Lean YES
$38K
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$4KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$6KWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 25Lean NO
$16K
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$483KWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 24Strong NO
$332Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 24Strong NO
$1KWill Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 23Strong YES
$320KWill Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$14KWill Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$22K
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 21Lean YES
$871KWill Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$13K
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$473KWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 20Lean YES
$121KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$141KWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 20Lean YES
$728KWill Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 19Lean YES
$23KWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 19Lean YES
$68K
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
YES 67%/NO 34%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$2K
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$10KWill "Opera" be said at the Oscars?
YES 69%/NO 31%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$2KWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?
YES 61%/NO 40%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$2KWill Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$5KWill Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$21KWill "Palestine" be said at the Oscars?
YES 65%/NO 36%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$282Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$19KWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$43Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$3KWill Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 16Lean NO
$34KWill Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$22KWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 73%/NO 28%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$431K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$43.9MWill "Elon" be said at the Oscars?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$53Will "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?
YES 54%/NO 46%
Alpha 15Lean NO
$270Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 63%/NO 37%
Alpha 15Lean NO
$44K
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$654KWill Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$2K
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$9K
Will Mike White be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 87%/NO 13%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$2KWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$177K100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 14Lean NO
$17K
Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$33KWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?
YES 70%/NO 31%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$5KWill Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$11KWill Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$5KWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$5KWill F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$14KWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$6K
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$81K
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 73%/NO 28%
Alpha 13Lean NO
$57KWill Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$154KWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 90%/NO 11%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$19K
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$265KWill A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$26KWill The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$20KWill "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?
YES 67%/NO 33%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$593Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$22KWill MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$2KWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
YES 87%/NO 14%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$64KWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$150KWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 11Lean NO
$320KWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 82%/NO 19%
Alpha 11Lean YES
$155KWill Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$29KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$142K
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 11Lean NO
$2.1MWill Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?
YES 94%/NO 7%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$5KWill Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$21KWill Zendaya attend the Oscars?
YES 76%/NO 24%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$13KWill MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$5KWill Forevergreen win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$4K
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$1KWill "Peace" be said at the Oscars?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$2KWill "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$7KWill "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$655Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 45%/NO 56%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$75KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$18K
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$626Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$117KWill Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$21KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$168KWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$10.0MWill The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$6K
Will "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$79KWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?
YES 63%/NO 38%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$108Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$128K50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$71KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$131KWill "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$745Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$133K
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$2KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 98%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2KWill Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$3KWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$20KWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$16KWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 96%/NO 4%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$155KWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$15KWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$132KWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
YES 90%/NO 10%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$68KWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$110KWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$19KWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$148KWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$3KWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$3KWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$140KWill MrBeast hit 118 billion views by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$4KWill The Three Sisters win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$3KWill MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$82KWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$99K
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$1KWill Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$28K
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$1.4MWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$32KWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$18KWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$377KWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$76KWill Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$15KWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$3K
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
YES 59%/NO 41%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$57K
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$800K
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$161KWill "Kylie" be said at the Oscars?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 4Strong NO
--Will Hudson Williams attend the Oscars?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$4KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$475K
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$224KWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$8K
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$148KWill Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$344Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$708Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$24K
Will Trump say "Kanye" or "Taylor Swift" in March?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$492Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will "Shame" be said at the Oscars?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
YES 66%/NO 35%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 97%/NO 4%
Alpha 1Split
$354K
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will "Sex" be said at the Oscars?
YES 79%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$9KWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$685KWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$145KWill Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$35KWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
YES 26%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
$20K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$10.9MTrump out as President before GTA VI?
YES 53%/NO 48%
No ScoreSplit
$538KWill "Sentimental Value" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$18KWill Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$441
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$324KWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
YES 55%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 41%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
$33K
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
YES 63%/NO 37%
No ScoreSplit
$607K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$745KWill Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$550Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 56%/NO 45%
No ScoreSplit
$24KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 89%/NO 11%
No ScoreSplit
$37KWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
YES 52%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$1.5MWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?
YES 53%/NO 48%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$234KWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$73K
Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$150K
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$628K
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$69KWill MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?
YES 42%/NO 59%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$490
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$566KWill "Sinners" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$11KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
YES 42%/NO 58%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$3K
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
YES 12%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$35KWill Children no More: Were and Are Gone win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$18KNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
$683KWill "Trump" be said at the Oscars?
YES 55%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 16%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
$16K
Will Logan Paul score a TD during Flag Football Classic?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill "White House" be said at the Oscars?
YES 35%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$188Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$21K
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
YES 26%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$62KWill Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 5%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$474Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?
YES 35%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$386
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?
YES 51%/NO 49%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$26KWill Drake release an album in 2026?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreStrong YES
--
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$332K
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
YES 34%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$30KWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$323KWill Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$270KWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$26KWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$30KWill "President" be said at the Oscars?
YES 77%/NO 24%
No ScoreSplit
$704Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$863Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$553Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$3.0MWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
YES 49%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$3.5MWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 50%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
$45KWill Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
$58KWill Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$50KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
YES 61%/NO 40%
No ScoreSplit
$1.4MWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 77%/NO 24%
No ScoreSplit
$54KWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$140KWill "Alien" be said at the Oscars?
YES 68%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$242
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 22%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$200K
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
YES 37%/NO 63%
No ScoreSplit
$1.2MWill Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$17KWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
YES 32%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$74KWill MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$20KWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$149KWill The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
YES 81%/NO 20%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
YES 58%/NO 42%
No ScoreSplit
$20KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 80%/NO 20%
No ScoreSplit
$60K
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
--Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$4K
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will "Leo" be said at the Oscars?
YES 78%/NO 23%
No ScoreSplit
$461Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$23KWill "Mom" be said at the Oscars?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill Kokuho win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$23KWill One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$34K
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$181KPop Culture Markets FAQ
How many pop culture prediction markets are available?
There are currently 260 pop culture prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for pop culture markets?
The average alpha score across pop culture markets is 17.2 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for pop culture markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For pop culture markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best pop culture market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked pop culture markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is pop culture market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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