Prediction Market
A speculative market trading contracts on future event outcomes. Prices reflect aggregate probability estimates.
In Depth
Prediction Market is a fundamental concept in prediction market trading. In platforms like Polymarket with thousands of active markets, understanding prediction market is essential for consistent profitability. TradeSphere data across 5,400+ markets shows that traders who master these concepts significantly outperform those trading on instinct.
In practice, prediction market connects to Binary Market, Implied Probability, Outcome. PolyPulse tracks these metrics and publishes weekly analysis. For hands-on application, PolyFire provides real-time market data and copy trading via Telegram.
Related Terms
3Binary Market
marketsA market with exactly two outcomes — YES or NO. Winners pay $1 per share, losers pay $0.
Implied Probability
analysisProbability implied by market price. A $0.65 YES share implies 65% probability. Compare to your estimate to find edge.
Outcome
marketsA possible result of a prediction market. Binary markets have two (YES/NO); multi-outcome markets can have many.
See It in Action
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