Edge
Difference between market price and estimated true probability. Positive edge means mispricing in your favor.
In Depth
Edge is a fundamental concept in prediction market trading. In platforms like Polymarket with thousands of active markets, understanding edge is essential for consistent profitability. TradeSphere data across 5,400+ markets shows that traders who master these concepts significantly outperform those trading on instinct.
In practice, edge connects to Alpha Score, Consensus Direction, Implied Probability. PolyPulse tracks these metrics and publishes weekly analysis. For hands-on application, PolyFire provides real-time market data and copy trading via Telegram.
Related Terms
3Alpha Score
analysisComposite metric (0-100) measuring trading opportunity strength based on smart money consensus, divergence, and timing.
Consensus Direction
analysisAggregate directional view of smart wallets. Shown as STRONG YES, STRONG NO, or SPLIT based on positioning.
Implied Probability
analysisProbability implied by market price. A $0.65 YES share implies 65% probability. Compare to your estimate to find edge.
See It in Action
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